March 18 Bitfinex Alpha | Bitcoin ETF inflows are moderate, but altcoins are not losing their luster
On Bitfinex Alpha
Since hitting an all-time high of $73,666 on March 14, Bitcoin has fallen more than 12.5%, one of the biggest price drops since the launch of the spot Bitcoin ETF in early January. The Spot Bitcoin ETF saw unprecedented inflows, surpassing $1 billion in one day last week, but the market recently paused as flows stabilized. After the initial enthusiasm we have seen, it would not be surprising to now see a period in which the market seeks some balance. The upcoming week’s flow data will be important in revealing TradFi investors’ sentiment towards Bitcoin, particularly their reaction to last week’s sharp correction.
On the other hand, the altcoin market has shown remarkable calm despite Bitcoin’s volatility. The Total3 index has reached a new cycle high, indicating increasing investment flows into alternative investments. This resilience is reflected in significant inflows into Ethereum and other layer 1 (L1) blockchain projects, despite Ether’s disappointing performance compared to BTC.
However, there is increasingly more bullish talk about Ether and Ethereum, as evidenced by record outflows of ETH from exchanges and the surging popularity and value of layer 2 ecosystems like Base, which recently saw its Total Value Locked (TVL) double. . main. Going forward, the performance of large altcoins, especially those with their own ecosystems, will be critical to understanding market direction.
On the macro front, the February Consumer Price Index (CPI) report dealt a blow to hopes for an early easing of US monetary policy. The 0.4% increase in CPI signals continued inflationary pressures, particularly in gasoline and housing costs.
However, retail sales in February were encouraging, showing that consumers are undeterred by high interest rates. The 0.6% increase signals solid consumer spending, driven by a strong jobs market. But persistent inflationary pressures, as evidenced by rising producer prices and robust services spending, mean the Fed should be wary of cutting rates too quickly.
In the world of cryptocurrency, a British court has issued a landmark legal ruling on claims by Craig Wright, who claims to be Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin. The ruling not only clarifies that Wright was not involved in the creation of Bitcoin, but also has significant implications for his ongoing legal battle within the cryptocurrency community.
Meanwhile, in Thailand, regulatory changes opened the door for institutional investors and “ultra-high net worth individuals” to access private funds investing in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, classifying these stocks as securities. The move signals Thailand’s progressive stance toward integrating digital assets into the financial ecosystem, while also highlighting the challenges retail investors face in accessing new investment opportunities in the digital asset space.
Have a great trading week!