Main takeout:
BTC can earn 100% to 200% of BTC, and cycle peaks are between $ 220,000 and $ 330,000.
Bitcoin continues to show powerful periodic volatility that contradicts the belief that price fluctuations are softer over time.
More than $ 4 billion in BTC was moved by long -term holders and warned of price modifications.
The analysis of BTC (Bitcoin) researcher SMINSTON suggests that the BTC price peak is still 100% to 200% from the current price. Recently, I shared the Bitcoin price chart in the X Post using the Sorted 365 -day Sorted Movement Average (SMA) with a power method (R² = 0.96).
This model follows the predictable non -random pattern over time, apart from the index growth model that the price of Bitcoin is often applied to stocks and stocks.
The chart shows that Bitcoin’s 365 -day SMA is generally two to three times that of the power law trend in each market cycle. The model, which costs $ 110,000 in Bitcoin on May 27, expects a potential cycle between $ 220,000 and $ 330,000. This prediction matches the historical patterns that Bitcoin continues to overdose at the optimistic stage, providing optimistic prospects for investors.
The second graph of the post emphasizes the price deviation from Bitcoin’s Power Law FIT, showing steady periodic volatility without index corruption in continuous peaks.
This challenges the general belief that the price cycle of Bitcoin is extremely less extremely over time, and the volatility of cryptocurrency remains a defined characteristic and causes significant price fluctuations over the next few months.
In the third quarter of 2024, Bitcoin predicted exactly that it would reach a six -digit price by January 2025 when the BTC was traded for about $ 60,000. The analysis evaluated the price of the BTC at the top of the cycle and examined each corrupt peak.
The corruption period of the investment cycle is widely adopted, and as the profit of the strategy decreases, the value of the asset is rapidly dropping at the peak at the peak at the highest point in which the value of the asset is gained.
As summarized in this analysis, the first quarter price target of 2025 is summarized below.
The researcher warned that his research is based on only four market cycles and should be approached by considerable skepticism.
Related: Bitcoin prices reached $ 130K or $ 1.5m, TOP BULLS says.
Bitcoin is deep in less than $ 108K as Old Coiners travels $ 4.2 billion in BTC
According to GlassNode, Bitcoin long-term holders (LTH) have transferred $ 4 billion from BTC, the largest expenditure in Cohort for 1-5 years since February 2025. This surge, which was led by Cohort ($ 21.6 billion) in 3-5 years, ranked fifth in this cycle in October 2024, at the peak of $ 92.2 billion, such as $ 92.2 billion.
For 2-3 and 2 years to 2 years, Cohort donated $ 14.1 billion and $ 450 million to the total age.
As described in the chart, LTH expenditure is often consistent with the peak of the price, and the BTC is struggling to maintain more than $ 110,000.
However, if this exercise matches the increase in the BTC Exchange reserves, it can follow a sharp change in price. Currently, the total BTC held on the exchange continues to decline.
From a technical point of view, Bitcoin has set the highest high and lowest levels since the price is $ 74,500, and every time the new best, BTC has formed a range before the next break.
The ongoing corrections reflect this pattern, and the current lowest level is $ 107,300 and was previously marked 10 days ago. But in Bitcoin, deeper corrections can be imminent.
Based on historical data, anonymous password trader TXMC pointed out that Bitcoin could be at the end of the green weekly march. Analyst
“BTC 7-8 consecutive green week is the longest march that Bitcoin has been managed since 2013, the longest march before withdrawal or integration. Last week was #7.”
Related: Bitcoin evaporates before a bet that is granted a ratio due to sagging less than $ 100,000.
This article does not include investment advice or recommendation. All investment and trading measures include risks, and the reader must do his own research when making a decision.