The Bitcoin (BTC) price is under selling pressure and is expected to drop by more than 9% this week. Bitcoin has been making lower highs over the past few months, which is a negative sign. This means that the bulls have a responsibility to defend support.
The market is bracing for a major catalyst in the form of a September rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve. The FedWatch Tool shows a 30% chance of a 50bp rate cut on September 18. Some believe that if that happens, risk assets, including Bitcoin, could rally.
Crypto Market Data Daily View. Source: Coin360
However, Bitcoin’s weakness has also damaged sentiment across the cryptocurrency sector, with several altcoins reversing recent gains and some even turning bearish, indicating a lack of buyer demand.
There are only a few that show any hope of recovery in the short term. Will Bitcoin bounce off its nearby support and push some altcoins higher? Let’s take a look at the top five cryptocurrencies that could participate if a crypto recovery occurs.
Bitcoin Price Analysis
If Bitcoin fails to break above the moving averages, the pressure will build further, likely sending the price down to solid support at $55,724.
BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bulls are expected to defend the $55,724 support with all their might, as a break below it could signal the start of a downtrend. This could lead to a sharp drop for the BTC/USDT pair towards the key support at $49,000.
The bulls don’t have much time left. If they want to make a comeback, they will have to push the price above the moving averages quickly. This could push the pair to $65,000 and then $70,000.
BTC/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
The pair has been trading below the 20 exponential moving average on the 4-hour chart, indicating that bears have the upper hand in the short term. Sellers will attempt to push the price up to $55,724 and then $54,000. Buyers are expected to defend this area fiercely.
The first strength signal is a breakout and close below the 20-EMA. Then the pair can rise to the 50-simple moving average. If it breaks above this level, the pair can accelerate to $65,000.
Litecoin Price Analysis
Litecoin (LTC) has been in a downtrend over the past few weeks, but the bull market is trying to make higher lows and higher highs.
LTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The moving averages are flat and the RSI is nearing its midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand. Buyers need to hold the price above $68 to signal a potential trend change. Then, the LTC/USDT pair can rise to $76.
Conversely, if the price were to decline from the 50-day SMA ($66) and drop below $59, it would suggest that the bears have not given up. Then, the pair could sink to the important support level of $55.
LTC/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
The bulls are trying to start a recovery, but the bears are making a strong challenge at $68. The sellers tried to push the pair up to $50, but the bulls bought the dip at $59. The flat moving averages and RSI near the midpoint do not give a clear advantage to either buyers or sellers.
If the price breaks above the moving average and breaks $68, it could start the next phase of the uptrend to $76. On the other hand, if it breaks below the moving average, the pair could fall to $59. If the $59 support is broken, the bears will take control again.
Fetch.ai Price Analysis
Fetch.ai (FET) rose above its moving average on August 23, indicating a weakening downtrend.
FET/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The uptrend started with a drop from overhead resistance at $1.51 on August 27th, before falling to the moving average, a crucial level for bulls to defend.
If the price rises above the moving average, buyers will try to push the FET/USDT pair back above $1.51. If successful, the pair will complete a bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern. This setup has a target target of $2.32.
Conversely, if the price breaks below the moving average, it is likely to range between $1.51 and $0.70 for some time.
FET/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
The 4-hour chart shows that the pair is correcting, and it is finding support at the 61.8% Fibonacci correction level of $1.05. The bears have stopped recovering at the 50-SMA, but the bulls are trying to make a higher low at $1.12. If the price breaks above the 50-SMA, the pair could retest overhead resistance at $1.51.
Conversely, if the price breaks down from the 50-SMA, it suggests that sentiment is still negative and traders are selling the rally. Then, the pair may fall to $1.05.
relevant: Bitcoin Down 8.6% in August, September Starts at Two-Week Low
Mantle Price Analysis
Mantle (MNT) has been trading close to the 20-day EMA ($0.61) for the past few days, suggesting a battle between bulls and bears.
MNT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
If buyers push the price above the 20-day EMA and hold it, it signals the start of a stronger recovery. Then, the MNT/USDT pair may attempt a rally to the 50-day SMA ($0.68), where the bears may step in. However, if the bulls prevail, the pair is likely to gain momentum and move to $0.90.
This optimistic outlook will be invalidated in the short term if the price declines from current levels and falls below $0.56. In that case, the pair may fall to $0.47.
MNT/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
The pair is stuck in a tight range between $0.56 and $0.66. The flat moving averages and RSI just below the midpoint do not provide a clear advantage for either buyers or sellers.
If the price stays below the moving average, the pair may slide to the $0.56 support level. Or, if it breaks above the moving average, it opens the way for a rally to $0.66. The next trend move is likely to start above $0.66 or below $0.56.
Aave Price Analysis
Aave (AAVE) bounced off strong support at $118, but the rally is facing selling near the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $133.
AAVE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The 20-day EMA ($123) is rising and the RSI is just above the midpoint, indicating a slight advantage for the bulls. If the price bounces back to $118, it will signal that the bulls are looking to turn the level into support. A breakout and close above $135 will open up a rally to $149.
This positive outlook will be invalidated in the short term if the price declines and falls below $118. This could lead to a plunge in the AAVE/USDT pair towards the 50-day SMA ($109).
AAVE/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
The pair reversed course from the downtrend line and fell below the 20-EMA. The bears will next try to push the price down to $118. This is a vital level that the bulls need to defend if they want to resume the uptrend. If the price rises above $118 and falls above $135, it suggests that the short-term correction may be over.
Instead, if the price continues to decline and falls below $118, it will be a signal that the bears have taken control. Then, the pair can fall to $105.
This article does not contain any investment advice or recommendations. All investment and trading moves involve risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making decisions.