Main takeout:
The US GDP reduced -0.3% in the first quarter, and the predictions and recessions of less than +0.3% broke out.
Bitcoin sells the pressure that the Spot Volume Delta has dropped $ 300 million in three days.
Whales are accumulating BTC, but they are sold by small holders and suggests profit.
After the US total domestic production (GDP) data was -0.3% contraction in the first quarter, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) was less than $ 93,000 on April 30. The GDP missed the expectation of +0.3%, but the GDP price index surged to 3.7%, the highest since August 2023. The polymarket probability of the economic downturn in 2025 was 67%, and consumer trust was the lowest since May 2020.
Meanwhile, in March 2025, PCE inflation fell to 2.3% (expected 2.2%) and core PCE dropped to 2.6% (according to expectation). Nevertheless, the core PCE in February has been revised from 2.8%to 3.0%and signaled the mixed inflation trend.
Short -term weakness to Bitcoin, long -term strong?
During the collapse of the Covid-19-In 2020, BTC started a traditional market by starting more than 300% of the rally by the end of the year as the global M2 currency supply increased, reflecting the charm of the financial expansion period. However, the stacflation, emphasized by -0.3% GDP contraction and 3.7% GDP price index in the first quarter of 2025, causes short -term risks.
Cointelegraph said that high inflation interferes with retail encryption investment, and pointed out that BTC interferes with retail cryptocurrency investment as it can be seen in 2022, when the BTC decreased by 60% during the federal reserve rate hike. According to the PCE inflation data in March 2025, the cooling pressure to relieve fed rate fear and to support Bitcoin is suggested.
Meanwhile, the Fed’s next movement is uncertain due to the continuous inflation of the upward revision in February (2.5%to 2.7%headline PCE, 3.0%in the core PCE). Fear of station can press BTC in the short term, but long -term hedge potential is still valid.
Related: Bitcoin macro indicator predicted 2022 floor flash ‘purchase signal’
Bitcoin is seeing a $ 300 million spot sales pressure.
Bitcoin’s Spot Volume Delta has fallen more than $ 300 million over the last three days, and the potential selling pressure of BTC has increased by $ 95,000.
The data in GlassNode indicates that the 7 -day moving average delta of the BTC spot volume recorded the negative flow over continuous days. On April 26, negative inflow increased with a small flush of $ 16 million, and on April 27, $ 33.9 million, $ 76.1 million on April 28, and $ 193.4 million on April 29.
This rapid decline indicates aggressive sales and weakening demand, profit generation signals, or potential short -term trend reversal. Despite selling, the analysis platform mentioned that the trend of accumulation between Bitcoin holders draw a more subtle picture. Whales with more than 10,000 BTCs remain in accumulation mode and the trend score is close to 0.95.
But small holders show signs of distribution. The 10–100 BTC group tends to be 0.6, while the group less than 1-10 BTC (0.3) and 1 BTC (0.2) is a net seller.
This downward accumulation suggests that the current sales pressure comes from short -term holders who can take a short -term $ 95,000 profit. The current market, called BTC’s “profit pressure pressure test”, is at a key decision point, and profit generation is a pivotal indicator for monitoring.
Last week, the total realization of the hourly chart surged to $ 13.9 million, which is about 17% more than the $ 120m/hour baseline. Profit, which is currently achieved with SPOT DELTA OUTFLOWS, can reach a new high this week.
Related: Bitcoin Traders predicts BTC prices higher than $ 96K liquidity collision
This article does not include investment advice or recommendation. All investment and trading measures include risks, and the reader must do his own research when making a decision.