According to CryptoQuant, if the current inflow trend associated with cash exchange-traded funds (ETFs) continues, the price of Bitcoin could surge to $112,000 this year. The data provider said the spot Bitcoin ETF has held more than 192,000 bitcoins since its launch nearly a month ago.
Optimistic outlook for Bitcoin price
CEO Joo Ki-young expressed optimism about Bitcoin’s price trajectory, suggesting that even in a “worst case” scenario, the price could reach at least $55,000, a significant 15% increase from current levels. These forecasts are based on historical indicators of the impact of ETF inflows on the Bitcoin market cap and whether the price is “overvalued” or “undervalued.”
ETF fund inflow
Ki emphasized that significant funds are flowing into the Bitcoin market through spot ETFs, totaling $9.5 billion per month. These inflows have the potential to increase Bitcoin’s realized capitalization by $114 billion per year. Despite Grayscale’s GBTC outflow, a potential $76 billion increase could push Bitcoin’s realized cap from $451 billion to $527 billion to $565 billion.
Market capitalization ratio analysis
The main indicator that CryptoQuant tracks is the ratio of Bitcoin’s market capitalization to realized capital. This ratio, which measures the value of active tokens at their last traded price, could indicate Bitcoin price peaking in the range of $104,000 to $112,000. Historically, at these price levels, a ratio of 3.9 represents a potential price peak.
conclusion
With spot Bitcoin ETFs continuing to attract significant inflows, the Bitcoin price outlook remains optimistic and there is potential for a significant upside to $112,000. These predictions are supported by on-chain data analysis and historical market trends, which indicate continued optimism among investors in the cryptocurrency space.