Polymarket, a decentralized prediction market platform, says Kamala Harris has a higher chance of winning the upcoming presidential election than Donald Trump.
Harris’s multiplication The odds of winning the November election rose to 50% on Polymarket today, with Trump at 49%. That’s after Harris rose to 49%, briefly tying with Trump after Tuesday night’s debate, but Trump later retook the lead on Wednesday, 50% to 49%.
The presidential debate between the two candidates has turned into a “news selling” event that stokes risk aversion amid consensus that Trump’s performance against Harris has fallen short of expectations..
~ in PredictHarris’ odds of winning are now 56 cents, down from 53 cents on Monday, while Trump’s odds of winning are now 47 cents.
While neither candidate mentioned cryptocurrencies in the debate, the topic has become a prominent part of the election debate over the past few months. Harris’s team has begun reaching out to the crypto industry, while her pro-cryptocurrency rival Trump has repeatedly emphasized his support for Bitcoin.
Polymarket’s odds are consistent with specific US election polling data. Debate performance. Some early polls show Harris winning the presidential debate. A YouGov poll found A poll of more than 2,000 registered voters found that 54% thought Harris won, while 31% said they supported Trump. According to a CNN/SSRS poll, 63 percent of debate viewers said Harris performed better on stage, while 37 percent said Harris performed better on stage.
In another prediction market on Polymarket, “Who Will Win the Debate According to Polls?” Harris’ odds of winning were 73% at the time of the debate, but have since risen to 99%.
The US election results remain the largest prediction market on the platform, with current volume exceeding $892 million.
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