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Home»BITCOIN NEWS»MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Risk: CFA Looks at Debt Issues
BITCOIN NEWS

MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Risk: CFA Looks at Debt Issues

By Crypto FlexsDecember 1, 20234 Mins Read
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MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Risk: CFA Looks at Debt Issues
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MicroStrategy, known as the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin (BTC), has expanded its holdings again. As revealed yesterday, the company purchased approximately 16,130 BTC (worth approximately $608 million at current market rates) in November. The acquisition occurred at an average price of approximately $36,785 per Bitcoin, bringing MicroStrategy’s total holdings to 174,530 BTC.

The Michael Saylor-led software company also disclosed plans to potentially raise $750 million through a Class A common stock offering. Partners in this venture include Cowen and Company, Canaccord Genuity, and BTIG. However, the announcement sparked speculation on various social media platforms, suggesting that MicroStrategy may be struggling with “debt issues.”

Does MicroStrategy have a “debt problem”?

Patrick Flood, Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) and investment expert at LATAM Stocks, said: research We talk about these rumors to dispel the growing fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) surrounding MicroStrategy’s debt situation. In a detailed analysis published on X, Flood provided insight into the company’s financial health and future prospects.

“We are seeing a lot of FUD happening around MicroStrategy debt,” Flood said. People are concerned that Michael Saylor continues to buy Bitcoin instead of solving his ‘debt problem’. I think these people haven’t read the MSTR financials… I read. And I don’t think they have any debt problems at all.”

He also explained that MicroStrategy’s immediate financial obligations are not urgent because the company does not have to repay anything until December 15, 2025. This gives MicroStrategy enough time to repay the debt or issue stock to repay it. But Flood suggests that repaying the 2025 notes may be unnecessary.

Flood explains the mechanics of the 2025 and 2027 convertible notes, highlighting the conditions under which debt holders may choose to convert. If MicroStrategy’s stock trades above 130% of the 2025 conversion price for 20 out of 30 trading days, conversion becomes a viable and attractive option for debt holders primarily due to the possibility of selling shares at a 30% premium to conversion. . price. This premium far exceeds the 0.75% annual interest rate on the debt, making conversion a financially sound decision.

Flood calculates the threshold price for this conversion to be $517.39, based on the conversion price of $397.99 and the 130% premium. With the stock currently priced around $498 and its 30-day moving average at $461, it is increasingly likely that the required conversion threshold will be reached, he suggests.

“The implications of the 2025 banknote conversion are significant,” says Flood. “First, MicroStrategy’s next debt payment date is postponed to February 15, 2027, more than three years from now. Second, this means that the next $750 million that Saylor plans to raise could potentially be invested directly in Bitcoin before Bitcoin’s halving in approximately April 2024.”

Bitcoin community reaction

The Bitcoin community has responded positively to MicroStrategy’s latest strategic move. All in all, they applauded Saylor. Erik Voorhees, CEO of ShapeShift decided, “Within a few years, MicroStrategy will have more Bitcoin than most sovereign nations can handle. It’s really Chad.”

Preston Pysh, another prominent figure in the Bitcoin community, Advert, “Wake up! Michael Saylor is holding a Wall Street Dinosaur Clinic.” Dylan LeClair also joined the discussion, praising Michael Saylor and MicroStrategy’s playbook.

*MICROSTRATEGY won 16,130 Bitcoin for ~$593.3M in cash.

*Microstrategy file for ATM stock offering worth up to $750 million

*MICROSTRATEGY currently holds 174,530 BTC worth $5.28 billion at an average price of $30,252 per Bitcoin.

The new corporate playbook for share buybacks pic.twitter.com/Q37qMU30HQ

— Dylan LeClair 🟠 (@DylanLeClair_) November 30, 2023

At press time, BTC was trading at $38,343.

BTC price, 4-hour chart | Source: TradingView.com BTCUSD

Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView.com

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