Iris Coleman
March 13, 2025 09:29
According to Bitfinex Alpha, the price of Bitcoin changes between $ 85,000 and $ 92,000 as market volatility increases due to macroeconomic changes and strategic initiatives.
Bitcoin (BTC) prices are experiencing volatility between $ 85,000 and $ 92,000 because uncertainty continues to be weighted on the market. According to Bitfinex Alpha, the temporary recovery of $ 90,000 last week followed the fast vibration period. This volatility has led a significant price swing, with $ 3 billion in bitcoin and Etherrium options.
Increased sensitivity to macroeconomic changes
The actual volatility of the bitcoin options has exceeded 80%, increasing the sensitivity of market change in macroeconomics. Expected volatility increased by 35.7% as merchants adjusted their positions ahead of major meetings. According to all chain data, many merchants experienced significant losses last week and recorded the biggest loss in this cycle by realizing a loss of $ 888 million every day.
Bitcoin sofs and market sentiment
Bitcoin’s consumer profit ratio (SOP) has entered the negative territory for the first time since October 2024 and proposed a selling due to financial pressure. The SOP of short -term investors recorded the second largest negative value of the cycle at 0.95, indicating that the new market participant is brewing. Historically, signal accumulation and strong trend of more than 1.0 can lead to more risk of falling if it remains below this level.
Macro economic indicators and strategic reserves
Currently, macroeconomic indicators do not provide a clear direction. Despite the US labor market with 151,000 new jobs in February, the unemployment rate rose to 4.1%due to the government’s reduction in jobs. The increase in wages is still strong, but high labor costs and inflation pressure can weaken expectations for cutting multi -federal preparation rates this year. In the fourth quarter of 2024, labor productivity increases by 1.5%, allowing companies to offset the cost without additional employment, but the identity of employment can lead to long -term risks.
Historical movements, US President Donald Trump has established a strategic Bitcoin protection zone and has more than 187,000 BTCs worth $ 13 billion. This can be greatly shifted from the confiscated bitcoin from auction to national assets. The administration is also promoting the Stablecoin bill by August and aims to end the restriction policy such as the Operation Choke Point 2.0 by strengthening the position of the United States as a global leader in Crypto.
Regulation and tax development
The SEC’s encryption task force will hold a roundtable meeting on March 21 to clarify the security status of digital assets and convert it into a more systematic regulatory guideline. On the other hand, in Japan, the Liberal Democratic Party has implemented a password -friendly tax reform, reducing capital gains to 20%and classifying cryptocurrency as a separate asset class. This reform also proposes to postpone taxes on encryption-crypto transactions and to encourage investment in digital assets by applying fair taxation to derivatives.
For more information, visit the official Bitfinex Alpha.
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