According to NIC Puckrin, the founders of Market Analyst and Coin Bureau, the United States accounted for 40%of the recession in 2025 due to the potential for long -term trade wars and uncertainty of macroeconomic economic uncertainty.
In an interview with COINTELEGRAPH, the analyst said that the economic downturn is not possible, but the economic downturn and the current macroeconomic uncertainty will create an environment in which risk assets such as cryptocurrency will be created. Puckrin said:
“Trump and his advisers said they didn’t completely ignore the recession, which means that it is definitely possible, but now it doesn’t say it’s unlikely, but the probability has increased.”
Analysts added that US President Donald Trump is not an attempt to actively engage in the economic downturn, but that the Trump administration’s work, including spending to reduce federal jobs and balance the budget, can lead to a recession due to side effects.
The macroeconomic uncertainty is the main cause of the recent decline in the US dollar index (DXY), and investors seek to escape from the economic uncertainty of changing capital from the European capital market to better opportunities and the current economic uncertainty of harassing the US market.
DXY, which tracks the intensity of the US dollar, wrote in March 2025. Source: TradingView
relevant: Time Line: How Trump’s tariffs draw Bitcoin to less than $ 80K
Trading war is a fear of lowering the price of Bitcoin
President Trump’s tariffs on US trading partners sent shock waves through the encryption market, and the price of Bitcoin (BTC) decreased by 24% and 24% modified on more than $ 109,000 on January 20.
Duty and fear of extended trade wars also turned to the direction of extreme fear.
The price of Bitcoin is struggling with the trade war headline and is currently being traded below the 200 -day index (EMA). source: TradingView
According to the Nansen Research analyst Nicolai SONDERGAARD, the encryption market will feel the pressure of tariffs by April 2025.
Analysts added that the market would be able to successfully negotiate the end of tariffs or if the Trump administration played its position, the market would recover.
Markus Thielen, the founder of 10X research, said in March 2025 that the BTC formed a price floor. US President Donald Trump has shown to inform the potential price reversal by alleviating investigations on trade tariffs.
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