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Home»ETHEREUM NEWS»Ethereum takes early first-quarter lead showing post-halving strength – will history repeat itself?
ETHEREUM NEWS

Ethereum takes early first-quarter lead showing post-halving strength – will history repeat itself?

By Crypto FlexsJanuary 9, 20254 Mins Read
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Ethereum takes early first-quarter lead showing post-halving strength – will history repeat itself?
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After a lackluster 2024, Ethereum began 2025 with a surge of more than 13% since the beginning of the year. This impressive performance has reignited optimism among investors who are anticipating a boom for ETH and the broader altcoin market. Ethereum’s early strength raised important questions: Can Bitcoin beat Bitcoin after this halving?

Top analyst Daan recently shared insightful data showing that ETH has gained an early lead over BTC, driven by positive sentiment and historical patterns of peak periods. In his analysis, Daan pointed out that ETH often performs well during the first quarter, especially after the halving, setting the stage for a potential alt-season. These historical trends have many investors eyeing ETH as a promising contender for market dominance in 2025.

Although Bitcoin remains the market leader, Ethereum’s early momentum could pave the way for it to challenge BTC’s dominance this year. The combination of favorable market conditions, improving sentiment, and Ethereum’s strong start suggests that this altcoin leader is poised to reclaim its position as a top-performing asset. As markets gear up for what could be a historic year, all eyes are on ETH to see if it can maintain its momentum and outperform Bitcoin.

Ethereum is going strong, but it faces major challenges.

Ethereum entered the new year on a positive note, sparking optimism among analysts and investors alike. However, for ETH to see a sustained upward trend, it needs to regain and hold on to last year’s highs. Early signs are promising, with ETH up 13% since the beginning of the year. The years following the halving have historically been favorable for altcoins, and 2025 appears to be following the trend.

Top analyst Daan shared insightful data on X, highlighting Ethereum’s strong start compared to Bitcoin. He noted that ETH is taking an early lead against BTC, driven by positive sentiment and strong seasonal patterns. Historically, ETH has performed well in the first quarter following the halving, setting the stage for a potential alt season. This historical context gives investors confidence that Ethereum can perform better in the coming months.

Ethereum returns compared to Bitcoin | Source: Daan on X

Daan emphasized that while Ethereum is gaining momentum, the competition between ETH and BTC will be something to watch closely. He believes both assets will be winners this year and each offers unique growth opportunities. For ETH, recovering key levels and maintaining early momentum will be key to ensuring it lives up to these lofty expectations.

The next few weeks will be critical as ETH looks to capitalize on its early lead. With market conditions looking favorable and a strong first quarter performance history, Ethereum is positioned for a potentially breakthrough 2025. But they must demonstrate resilience to navigate market challenges and maintain an optimistic outlook.

ETH Test Main Support

Ethereum is currently trading at $3,636 and is testing the important 4-hour moving average of 200 as support. This level will be important in determining the next phase of ETH price action. If prices remain above this moving average over the next few hours, it could signal a strong base for a rebound into higher supply areas, setting the stage for further bullish momentum.

ETH testing 4H 200 MA
ETH tests 4H 200 MA | Source: TradingView ETHUSDT Chart

However, a short breakout into the low supply zone could still be a healthy move for ETH. When such a plunge occurs, it is important for prices to recover quickly (ideally within a few days) to maintain the bullish outlook. A continued decline could create uncertainty and test investor confidence in Ethereum’s upward trajectory.

For the bullish trend to remain intact, ETH will need to remain firmly above the $3,500 level. This sign serves as an important area of ​​support and losing it risks a deeper correction. On the other hand, recovering the $3,900 level is equally important as it could strengthen the bullish structure and open the door to a larger rally.

Featured image by Dall-E, chart by TradingView

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